It’s the final week of byes in the NFL. Thank goodness. When you’re looking for value and football wagering options, you always like to have as many as possible sift through. That said, even without a full slate of games, there are a bunch of really intriguing Week 11 NFL picks to make. On we go.
Editors Note: Check also our NFL Week 11 Preview by DS Williamson
Week 11 NFL Picks
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-4.5)
Now this is intriguing. Everything here would tell us to take the Panthers. The Saints blew a game late and now have to go on the road versus another team that blew a game late last week. And at 3-6, this is the supposed last stand for Carolina (although, we kind of thought last week was their last chance at getting back in the hunt).
But, New Orleans showed some great defensive line pressure last week versus Denver, albeit versus a sub par offensive line. Still, that is a sign that this game could be closer than many think. We’re also looking at a divisional game which could keep things close. Give me the points and Drew Brees to keep things interesting. Take the Saints.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5)
Now this is a line that is way too much. Yes, the Chiefs are a great team and will probably win. But by 8 points coming off an emotional road win that took a whole lot out of them? Add in the fact that some KC players are bound to be looking ahead to their key Week 12 matchup versus the Broncos and you have a recipe for a road dog cover. The Bucs have enough to keep this game competitive. Give me TB and the points.
Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings (-0.5)
Bruce Arians is a good coach. His Cardinals team has underachieved this season. The Vikings are in a free fall and are taking on a fresh opponent off a bye week (although, Larry Fitzgerald is considered questionable for this game). This is almost a final stand for the Cards and I just don’t like how Minny cannot protect the QB or run the ball effectively right now. Give me Arizona to win and play much better on defense.
Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys (-7)
Yes, the Cowboys are off an impressive road win in Pittsburgh. And yes, the Ravens are off an easy win over Cleveland last Thursday, giving them a few extra days of rest. So on the surface this is a hard one to pick. But I really don’t think it is.
Baltimore beat a terrible Browns team last week, nothing to write home about. And they have buckled against good teams. This spread should really be closer to 10 points. So give me the value and take America’s team. Lay the points with Dallas.
Matthew Ross is a sports commentator and a radio host on TSN 690 Radio in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. Follow him @MatthewWords.