Regular Season Week 10 Preview

NFL Week 10 is here. Who would have thought 5 weeks ago that the Saints are favored against the Broncos? Even more  the Jags favored against the Texans?  Who would guess Dak prescott would deliver as he has done? Lot of things have happened. See below our regular season Week 10 preview of every NFL game.

Editors Note: Check also Week 10 Betting Picks by Matt Ross

NFL Betting – Regular Season Week 10 Preview

Thursday, Nov. 10

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens -10.5 (8:25 pm ET)

Baltimore beat Pitt 21 to 14 in Week 9. It was a terrific showing by the Ravens. Why then does 60% of football handicappers like Cleveland at +10.5? Perhaps, it’s because the Browns, who should have the easiest schedule in the NFL, just got done losing 10 to 35 to Dallas.

I’m not sure if Cleveland is good enough to keep this close. I do know that Baltimore has a tough defense. I hate to lay this many points. But I don’t see an alternative.

Sunday, Nov. 13

Houston Texans -1.5 at Jacksonville (1:00 pm ET)

I don’t think either team has a great offense. Jacksonville played well when losing 14 to 19 to KC in Week 9. The Jags have a struggling QB in Blake Bortles. They also have a defense that has shown signs of being as strong as any defense, including Houston’s, in the AFC South.

My gut tells me to go with the Jags to get it done on Sunday. I’m backing Jacksonville straight up. Mainly, because as bad as Bortles has played, he hasn’t been nearly as bad as Houston QB Brock Osweiler.

Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints -1.5 (1:00 pm ET)

Wow, a lot can change in the matter of 9 weeks, right? Denver started out the season going 4 and 0. The Saints started out the season going 0 and 3. New Orleans has won 4 out of its last 5 games. The Broncos have lost 3 out of its last 5 games.

The best way to beat the Saints is to outscore them. Although Denver has a great defense, it allows over 128 yards per game on the ground. You’d be amiss if you didn’t think that Sean Payton and Drew Brees are aware of that stat. I think the Saints win this game rather easily.

Los Angeles Rams at New York Jets -2.5 (1:00 pm ET)

I have no clue why the Rams are underdogs to the Jets. Sure, I know that the game is in New Jersey. But the Jersey Jets…er, NY Jets…uh, whoever they are, have no offense and are likely to have to start rookie QB Christian Hackenburg because Ryan Fitzpatrick is hurt.

Even if Fitz plays, I like the Rams to win this game straight up. L.A. has been competitive even though they’ve dropped 4 games in a row. The Jets are just a bad team while the Rams play hard each and every week.

Atlanta Falcons pk at Philadelphia Eagles pk (1:00 pm ET)

A lot of money has driven the Falcons down to pick status after the line opened at Atlanta +1. That’s a lot of money in a bit more than 24 hours since I’m writing about this game.

Do the Eagles have any shot of controlling the Falcons’ offense? Maybe, not. But, one thing is for sure, Philadelphia is good enough on offense, and Atlanta’s defense is bad enough, to allow Philly to control the clock. I like the Eagles, who have been unlucky to lose their last 2 games, to get the job done on Sunday. I’ll side with Philly in this matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers -3 (1:00 pm ET)

The Chiefs have been on a roll since getting squashed by the Pittsburgh Steelers a week before their bye. Since the terrible 14 to 43 loss to Pitt, the Chiefs have won 4 straight. They should make it 5 straight by beating Carolina, the favorite in this matchup, on Nov. 13.

Carolina just doesn’t have it this season. The Panthers barely beat the woeful Rams 13 to 10 on the road in Week 9. I’m not feeling Carolina at all. I think the Chiefs win this game straight up.

Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5 (1:00 pm ET)

Here’s another strange against the spread line. My problem with betting on Tampa Bay is that their defense hasn’t stopped anybody yet this season. It even allowed the Rams to score 37 points in a 37 to 32 loss in late September. Chicago’s defense isn’t bad. It could force Bucs’ QB Jameis Winston into 1 or 2 interceptions. If that happens, the Bears figure to win this game with no problem. That’s the way that I’m going. Da Bears!

Green Bay Packers -2.5 at Tennessee Titans (4:05 pm ET)

I’m not a fan of the Green Bay Packers this season. For a team to let a squad like Indianapolis, which has no real defense to speak of, beat the Packers 31 to 26 at Lambeau is close to shameful. QB Aaron Rodgers said that the squirrel running around the field had more fire than the Packers did in the loss. Enter the Titans who once again played a great game even though they lost in Week 9.

I don’t think the Packers will have any answer for Marcus Mariota and the Titans’ passing attack. I think that Mariota throws at least 3 TDs in this one. I’m this close to putting a fork into the Packers. Tennessee wins straight up.

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins -2.5 (1:00 pm ET)

From my perspective, this is one of those no brainer picks. The Vikings have lost 3 games in a row while Washington goes into this battle off a bye. Washington’s defense isn’t great. No problem. Minnesota’s offense is a mess.

The Redskins should have no trouble scoring enough points, like Detroit did in Week 9, for Washington win this one straight up by at least 3 to 6 points.

Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers -3.5 (4:05 pm ET)

This is one of the most important games in Week 10. Both teams are playing well enough to make a run to the playoffs. The key will be how good San Diego does at home facing a hot Miami squad. The Dolphins’ offense has finally come together. Coach Adam Gase has his guys playing with a ton of confidence. The Fins have won 3 in a row. But beating Pittsburgh, Buffalo and the Jets at home is different than beating San Diego on the road. I think the Chargers are about to put together a winning streak that could lead to an AFC West Division title. I like San Diego to cover in this matchup.

San Francisco 49’ers at Arizona Cardinals -13.5 (4:25 pm ET)

The point spread is a lot. Then again, it’s hard to see Arizona having trouble putting up a ton of points against San Francisco’s defense. The Saints rushed for close to 250 yards against the 49’ers defense in Week 9.

The Cardinals could break 200 yards rushing as well. I just don’t see San Francisco keeping up with an Arizona Cardinals team focused on getting back in the win column. I’m willing to give up the points.

Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 (4:25 pm ET)

Tough match up between the Cowboys and Steelers on Sunday. This should be one of the best games of Week 10. Make no mistake, the Cowboys are a rock-solid team. You don’t win 7 straight in the NFL unless you’re talented.

On paper, the Cowboys should win this game as their offensive line is much better than Pittsburgh’s defensive line. But the Steelers are on a losing streak. The players and coach are just too good for the Steelers to continue losing games. I think they bounce back in a huge way against the Cowboys on Sunday. I like the Steelers to cover.

Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots -7 (8:30 pm ET)

This is one of my no-brainer picks for Week 10. From my perspective, Seattle has no shot of beating the spread. Sure, a TD seems like a lot until you realize that Seattle allowed Buffalo to score 26 points against it.

Seattle’s defense is nearly as fearsome as it used to be. More importantly, Tom Brady has yet to throw an interception while Gronk is turning into the fantasy stud that everybody thought he’d be at the beginning of the year. I like New England to cover.

Monday, Oct. 31

Cincinnati Bengals at New York Giants -2.5 (8:30 pm ET)

The Bengals get a break from their incredibly difficult 2016 schedule in Week 10 against the New York Giants. It’s not a huge break. But, it’s a decent sized one after Cincinnati has had to face Dallas, Pittsburgh, New England and Denver already this season. Who wins when the Bengals come to town?

I like Cincinnati on both the moneyline as well as against the spread. To me, New York isn’t as good of a team as Cincinnati. The Giants still have no rushing game to speak of. I’ll back the Bengals at +2.5. They’ve got a great shot of winning this game straight up.